Diggs wanted the ball thrown to him more often. Biggest remaining offseason priority for each NFC team: Can Seahawks keep Russell Wilson happy. Marshon Lattimore gives him a 10 yard cushion and a free release. Fields is a bonafide play maker and finds ways to make things happen on the field. In 2020, Watson had career highs in completion percentage, yardage, TD passes, yards per attempt, passer rating, and the lowest interception rate of his career. WebZach Wilson was the No. The 3 year accuracy rate on deep bombs for Cousins from 2017 to 2019, 41.5%, is virtually identical to the accuracy rate for Jared Goff from the same time period, 41.3%. In 2017, Watson ranked 31st on Kinsley's Deep Ball Project rankings (Goff ranked 17th that year.) To me, that's an example of why I have a hard time taking PFF QB grades and rankings seriously. You should receive a confirmation email shortly asking you to verify your subscription. Watson was often tasked with trying to throw the Texans back into games, meaning he had to air it out in the fourth quarter. Matt Stafford was ranked 26th in 2018 by Kinsley. Are we really sure that would be an upgrade? When everything goes wrong, Fields can still make the throw he needs to with touch and accuracy. The Vikings quarterback completed 166 of his 218 short passing attempts for 1,292 yards, 11 touchdowns and a 101.3 passer rating. Not all of this can be blamed on the bad Bengals offensive line or that their WRs are high quality intermediate type targets, but not good deep threat WRs, or placed at the feet of Zac Taylor, the head coach. By the end of the year, he and Goff had the same number of INTs. This is how the stats for Cousins in 2018 compare to Goff's numbers in 2020: 2018 Cousins (8-7-1 record): 70.1% compl, 268.6 ypg, 7.1 ypa, 30 TDs, 10 INTs, 99.7 rating, 59.5 QBR, 6.48 ANY/A. Not a huge number. You won't want to miss a moment of the 2022 season! Thompson-Robinson shows explosiveness in the running game, but its his savvy that has me really intrigued. Your newfound king has finally received his recognition on this list. 
Somehow, Justin Fields has seemed to have turned into the forgotten man amongst the quarterbacks of the 2021 NFL Draft class. Tannehill was accurate on 34.6% of his deep bombs, a mediocre percentage (if you took out Goff's strong 2018 season and just averaged his less impressive 2017 and 2019 years, Goff still has a 35.4% deep bomb accuracy rate.). 2 and the Ravens will trade Lamar Jackson to the Colts, shaking up the outlook for Round 1. Stafford's deep pass completion rate this year (38.7% on 24/62 passes) is just a hair better than Justin Herbert (37.7% on 23/61 passes.) The former Penn State QB transferred to Kentucky after spring ball in 2021. He flashed the potential to be a good NFL QB as a rookie, but he wasn't set up to succeed in every aspect. After three years of charting the ball placement of every throw of every game, the top-three highest single-season deep-passing accuracy rates belong to Russell Wilson in 2016 (55.6), Derek Carr in 2018 (52.3%) and Derek Carr in 2016 (51.1%). NFL+ gives you the freedom to watch LIVE out-of-market preseason games, LIVE local and primetime regular season and postseason games on your phone or tablet, the best NFL programming on-demand, and MORE! His 12 deep completions off play-action were the third-most in the league, driving home what we all observed in 2020: The Browns are at their best when they use a run-first foundation and catch the defense napping when going to the air. His targets and receiving yards exploded, resulting in a career best season. That is nearly 200% the number of times Goff went deep. Deep Ball Accuracy. Mediocre. Overall, the stats for the 2 seasons are similar. Regardless, Carr had a strong response for anyone questioning his ability to throw the deep ball in 2020. They started 8-0, so this might have seemed like an odd take, but it is very similar to what we saw happen to the 2020 Steelers this season. If I caught that correctly it was 40-4-1 AFL + 66-16-1 NFL. Brady amassed the most deep passing yards Kinsley had ever measured for the Deep Ball Project. More importantly, he was accurate on an astounding 57% of those attempts, a phenomenal rate. According to SIS, Tannehill's deep pass completion rate for 2020 was virtually identical to his 2019 rate. Plus, an overlooked signing that could completely revitalize a once-proud defense. AP MVP: Aaron Rodgers. 
It isn't just the distance the ball travels, it is how Goff's arm strength allows him to shape the throw to make it more likely to beat the defender. His top 2 WRs were speedsters Brandin Cooks and Will Fuller, so Watson had multiple legitimate deep threats available to him. He only had 6.6 yards per attempt in 2019. Cooks is so fast, he eats up the cushion and goes past Lattimore. According to the numbers of this project, Pickett only completed 15 out of 40 passes of 21 or more air yards on the season, yet he was accurate on 23 out of 40. Eric Edholm and Dan Parr look ahead to the 2023 NFL Draft, highlighting the top three needs for all 32 teams. From scouting reports to mock drafts and exploring different scenarios, we will be covering the NFL draft and the future of the Minnesota Vikings from all angles. Age 37. The team is saved from ranking any lower because of Mullens, six attempts). NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. The Pats also could have taken Van Jefferson if they had held onto that pick. In 2018, with Cooks gone to the Rams, Tom Brady's completion rate on passes 20 or more yards dropped from 39.2% to 32.1%. He missed the first half of his rookie season due to injury. Interpreted as: most passing 2021 NFL season: Which head coach has the best chance to win his first Super Bowl? That's it. He also recorded an 83.5% completion rate, which was the best of the 37 quarterbacks with at least 72 short passing attempts. In the 2018 Vikings game, Goff takes a shotgun snap and is given a clean pocket by the offensive line. Despite the stats and the tape not necessarily showing much improvement by Tannehill as a deep passer, he still led the Titans to the AFC title game and was rewarded with a rich contract, with a salary of nearly $30 million per season. If he has time to grow and learn to process things more quickly, he might just be the best quarterback to come out of this draft. Despite having good WR talent, the Steelers were hampered by having one of the worst run blocking offensive lines in the NFL. The more logical explanation is that it is related to factors other than the QB. Regardless of how the team addresses the issue, I think it needs to be a point of emphasis going into the offseason, even if the Rams somehow go on to win the Super Bowl this year. Best throws: Burrow's eight-yard touchdown run featured an efficient spin out of the pocket and juke near the goal line. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Each hitch is generally tied to the next read. I wonder what Brady's deep passing stats will look like for this season. Stafford's 3 year accuracy rate from 2017 to 2019 was 35.5%. Ryan Tannehill posted a 100.9 passer rating, a 5:2 TD-to-INT ratio and a CPOE of +4.2 percent on deep throws, but gained just 514 yards (last among qualifiers) via those attempts. And finally, coming in on the low end of downfield attempts can hurt a quarterback's chances of earning a spot here, as well. One of those games was against the Giants, who were 17th, just outside of the top 16. Once Cooks was gone, Brady went deep far less frequently and remained mediocre in his accuracy. Aaron Rodgers might be the most accurate quarterback in the league, and hes certainly one of the most careful. January. Like Goff, Stafford had one good year throwing deep bombs and that was in 2019. Join for weekly recaps on film analysis, scouting reports, and more. 2021 Burrow 2021 Murray 2021 Rodgers 2021 Prescott 2021 Watson's herculean efforts in 2020 helped elevate some of his top targets in his first NFL season without DeAndre Hopkins. All right, enough with the explaining about why certain players didn't make the list. Even after that improvement, his completion rate still was only slightly better than Derek Carr's rate. Especially when these were their stats after the first 6 games of the season: Cousins: 64.6% comp, 245.8 yards per game, 11 TDs, 10 INTs, Wilson: 71.2% comp, 315 yards per game, 22 TDs, 6 INTs. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. As you'd expect, I was left with a strong group of qualified passers, but there are some notable omissions from the top 10. As we all recall, Allen was a dynamite passer in 2020 and one with a penchant for making the big play. He gave Kirk Cousins a D- grade (hey, at least it wasn't an F grade), saying that Cousins had very poor accuracy. They made the playoffs, but Big Ben had some rough moments both in the regular season and in their wild card loss. Stroud was even better in 2021 with one less game played, throwing for 4,424 yards, 44 touchdowns, and a 130.8 passer rating. In 2018, Goff had 16 accurate deep bombs of over 25 yards with a 50% accuracy rate. The former Penn State QB transferred to Kentucky after spring ball in 2021. When passing the ball, Thompson-Robinson is best within rhythm. In 2016, DJax had a 1,000 yard season. Still, Stroud lit up the box score at Ohio State in 2022, owning a 94.2 deep grade at PFF. In a way, Diggs had valid reasons to be upset. Watson had poor accuracy rates on deep balls (Kinsley categorizes accuracy separate from completion percentage, because he visually watches each throw and adjusts for things such as dropped passes, hail mary throws, etc. But, the deep completions that he did hit did result in a boost to his passing numbers. For quarterbacks, their footwork should be telling them where they need to be in the progression. His production is back to the 2017 level when he had Cooks in New England. Way better than terrible Goff, but no one is calling Derek Carr the GOAT. Check out the full rundown, 1-50. Cousins actually had fewer yards per game in 2019 compared to 2018, but his yards per attempt jumped up by a full yard from 7.1 to 8.1 yards. He led all of the big prospects with 70% of his passing yards coming before the catch. February 27, 2023 By restaurants on the water in st clair shores. 
It went up very slightly to 37.8% the last 2 seasons. In 2015, Kinsley evaluated QBs on all passes over 15 yards. Where it can become a real problem is when he pre-determines routes before the snap and isnt able to get off of those reads if the play isnt there to be made. He was 4th best on clean pocket throws for QBs with at least 20 attempts and 5th best on tight window deep throws. One of Tannehill's key missed opportunities came in the playoff loss, when AJ Brown got wide open on a deep go route and put his hand up, but Tannehill never saw it and didn't throw the pass to him, possibly costing the Titans a much needed TD. One year later, Allen somehow posted even worse stats, ranking tied for 29th. 
Meanwhile, the schedule for the Rams was essentially flipped the opposite way. In 2019, Watson had a whopping 56 deep bomb attempts of over 25 yards. He took deep shots early and often, and connected on them at an impressively consistent rate. Kinsley cited the poor Rams offensive line as being a key reason for this drop. Deep attempts: 26-of-64, 771 yards, 9:3 TD-to-INT ratio, 106.2 passer rating. Sound crazy? Earlier this week, PFF ranked the 2021 starting quarterbacks' deep passing by various metrics, and Garoppolo came in at No. Those 10 plays would push Goff into almost the top 5 of the NFL in yards per attempt. GM Mike Mayock was not shy about expressing the confidence he has in Carr this offseason. For someone like Mooney who is looking to be a bigger threat in 2021, having an accurate passer especially deep downfield is something that should have Mooney excited. Carr led the NFL with 11 completions, 426 passing yards and six touchdowns on deep passes against the blitz in 2020. Wilson was way ahead and this included the dramatic comeback win by Wilson against the Vikings after the Vikings failed on a short 4th down play. Web[SIS Football] Most accurate QB by throw depth: 0-9 yards = Kyler Murray (89% on-tgt) 10-19 yards = Lamar Jackson (85%) 20+ yards = Kyler Murray (82%) twitter This thread is archived New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast 803 130 Related Topics NFL Professional football Professional sport Football Sports 130 comments Best bklj2007 Cousins acknowledged that if he didn't correct this issue, there was a possibility that he would get benched. 54.5%. Progressions are also a major positive for Thompson-Robinson. Goff's accuracy rate during the same time period was 41.3%. He calls it the Deep Ball Project and last year associated with Football Outsiders on it. You get 3 downs before you punt. The Pats had a top 10 offensive line in 2019. AP Offensive Rookie of the Year: Justin Herbert. 
Should Rams tank in 2023? That kind of decision making was a recurring theme for Fields. 1, but the numbers don't lie. A positive CPOE indicates performance above expectation, while a negative difference indicates performance below expectation. 
How is that possible? The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Initially, this looked like it might help, because in his first start for the Pats, Sanu had 10 catches for 81 yards. Rodgers led the NFL with 14 completions, 557 yards and six touchdowns on deep passes to slot receivers in 2020. Kinsley wasn't nearly as impressed as the media. That would be like Larry Bird missing 22 straight 3 pointers. Having Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to throw to has helped Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes top the NFL in TD percentage on long passes. 
Unfortunately, he had a high ankle sprain in that game. The Dagger concept (a backside dig with a go routes on the inside to clear the safety) is one that UCLA dominated with last season. Well, let's do some math and it will show how crucial the deep passing element can be for a team's passing statistics. He has been the top downfield passer in the NFL since the advent of the Next Gen Stats era in 2016, leading the league in passing yards (5,369), passing touchdowns (56), completions (156) and attempts (378) in that span. 25. Not creating more explosive chunk plays on deep balls was a key factor that held back the Rams offense in 2020. Kinsley's composite data from 2017 to 2019 seems to show that Jared Goff is the superior deep ball passer compared to Matt Stafford. Read More: Zach Wilson film analysis How hell fit in the NFL. Mayfield wasn't quite one to light up the scoreboard on deep passes, but he was incredibly effective out of play-action. His accuracy rate was 35.4%, which is lackluster. The statistics illustrate a quarterback who is about as steady as they come when looking downfield, even after his offense changed coordinators with the departure of Kevin Stefanski last offseason. Stat to know: Jackson blew away the field in expected points added on designed rushes in 2019. In 2020, he had a challenger in the form of Murray but still took the crown. The Ravens QB remains the clear top choice on designed carries. -- Walder Riser to watch: Lance will be in the top three next year if he plays this season. What's most remarkable is Cousins' ability to remain steady when faced with a major increase in high-difficulty throws. Thompson-Robinson not only hits it easily, but he leads the receiver for more yards after the catch. He took the full-time starting role entering the 2022 season. From position ranks to power rankings, you can find it all at PFF. Contrary to the idea that Watson suffered from a poor offensive line blocking, Kinsley said that the tape showed that Watson had the 3rd best rate of clean pockets on his deep passes, but that Watson often would run out of clean pockets and into pressure, contributing to his inaccuracy. Cousins and Goff almost had mirror image seasons, with Cousins struggling early and coming on late, and Goff performing better early and fading later in the season. After a poor finish to his 2012 season, ESPN proclaimed that the inevitable decline had begun for Brady. That is an anemic 25.7% rate. Wanting that matchup and looking to exploit a linebacker is fine, but as soon as the corner to that side leaves his man to help stay on top of that route, Fields needs to come off of the read. He was perhaps the most accurate deep passer in the league last season and showed superb touch and precision to all areas of the field. Sign up for the Vikings Wire newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. The Titans' starting signal-caller completed 193 of his 231 short attempts. This is slightly misleading, because Stafford that season was abnormally good on super deep passes and very poor in the 20 to 35 yard range. He had exactly the same number of deep attempts as in 2017 (35), but his accuracy rate was twice as good (jumping from to 25.7% to 51.4%.) It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Rushing is a very common thing with Thompson Robinson. While his reads were a little slow, hes shown more consistency and upside than every quarterback in the draft not named Trevor Lawrence. He knows how to avoid getting hit along with gaining extra yards. Forced to open up the offense late in the season and in their playoff loss to the Browns, we saw Roethlisberger throw a bunch of INTs and near INTs. It doesn't count as a deep attempt, because he threw the ball short, but it was a costly misread of the defense. You'll now receive the top Vikings Wire stories each day directly in your inbox. Allen showed in 2020 that he's the franchise quarterback Buffalo hoped he'd be when it selected him in the first round of the 2018 draft. Playing with Cam Newton in 2020, Harry still had very little production. Putrid. Without DJax on the team in 2017, Cousins really struggled on deep passes in 2017. I bet if you put Jared Goff on the 2020 Tampa Bay Bucs, he also would post good stats. The Dagger concept (a backside dig with a go routes on the inside to clear the safety) is one that UCLA dominated with last season. He throws into windows with timing very well. I have a hard time believing that Goff suddenly forgot how to throw the football. If Cousins can be "fixed", whether his improvement from the first half of 2020 to the second half of the season, or the perceived improvement from his 2018 season to his 2020 campaign, there isn't any reason why the Rams can't achieve a similar rebound with Goff. The defender underneath has widened to the flats and the space for the curl is wide open. To qualify for this list, a player had to have at least 30 deep pass attempts in 2020, and to filter out the best from the rest, a passer rating of 100.0 or better on deep attempts was required. Julian Edelman had 100 catches for 1,117 yards. In 2018, Goff had the best completion percentage in the entire NFL on passes over 20 air yards. The WR talent was undeniable. Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for the top edge prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. He fits the ball in behind the flat defender and before the deep third defender can make a play. He is showing again in 2021, that he is one of the most accurate after AS decided to run plays longer than 5-10 yards. The transformation of Watson from being one of the worst deep ball passers in the NFL to one of the best in such a short time period is rather amazing. Even if a QB throws these bombs frequently and successfully, there might be only about 3 such attempts per game, with only about 20 of these types of passes being completed over the course of the season. In all, we were reminded of what we already knew: Rodgers is a fantastic passer downfield, and the Packers aren't afraid to use his talents to their advantage. Deep attempts: 19-of-39, 636 yards, 5:0 TD-to-INT ratio, 134.3 passer rating. How crazy is it that this would even be a valid question? His 85 Throw on the Run and 94 Throw Power ratings are both highest in the game among the rookie QB class. Of course, he flashed his running ability with 654 yards and nine touchdowns. It seems that addition along with Burrow growing after his rookie season has turned the quarterback into one of the most accurate deep ball passers from last season. There is a lot to like about Thompson-Robinson. Deep attempts: 23-of-47, 714 yards, 5:2 TD-to-INT ratio, 112.7 passer rating. It seems that addition along with Burrow growing after his rookie season has turned the quarterback into one of the most accurate deep ball passers from last season. Here is the 2021-22 Deep Ball Project created by Johnny Kinsley. IT'S HERE: The 2021-22 Deep Ball Project is finally out. This was really good. He climbed up to 11th place in the 2019 rankings. Diggs might not have liked how often he was targeted in 2019, but when Cousins went deep that season to Thielen and Diggs, the Vikings were able to find some success. By getting the safety to commit to the nearside, it makes the throw and catch much easier. 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